Wednesday, April 24, 2019

Joe's 2019 Amateur Mock Draft Special

Round 1


No. 1 Arizona Cardinals - Kyler Murray, QB, Oklahoma

No. 2 San Francisco 49ers - Nick Bosa, DE, Ohio State

TRADE No. 3 Washington Redskins (via NYJ) - Dwayne Haskins, QB, Ohio State

No. 4 Oakland Raiders - Josh Allen, OLB, Kentucky

No. 5 Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Devin White, LB, LSU

TRADE No. 6 Atlanta Falcons (via NYG) - Quinnen Williams, DL, Alabama

No. 7 Jacksonville Jaguars - Jawaan Taylor, OT, Florida

No. 8 Detroit Lions - Ed Oliver, DL, Houston

No. 9 Buffalo Bills - Jonah Williams, OT, Alabama

No. 10 Denver Broncos - Drew Lock, QB, Missouri

No. 11 Cincinnati Bengals - Andre Dillard, OT, Washington State

No. 12 Green Bay Packers - T.J. Hockenson, TE, Iowa

No. 13 Miami Dolphins - Christian Wilkins, DL, Clemson

No. 14 New York Giants (via ATL) - Montez Sweat, OLB, Mississippi State

No. 15 New York Jets (via WSH) - Brian Burns, OLB, Florida State

No. 16 Carolina Panthers - Marquise Brown, WR, Oklahoma

No. 17 New York Giants - Jerry Tillery, DL, Notre Dame

No. 18 Minnesota Vikings - Garrett Bradbury, OL, North Carolina State

No. 19 Tennessee Titans - Cody Ford, OL, Oklahoma

No. 20 Pittsburgh Steelers - Devin Bush, LB, Michigan

TRADE No. 21 Indianapolis Colts (via SEA) - Josh Jacobs, RB, Alabama

No. 22 Baltimore Ravens - D.K. Metcalf, WR, Ole Miss

No 23. Houston Texans - Erik McCoy, OL, Texas A&M

No. 24 Oakland Raiders - Noah Fant, TE, Iowa

No. 25 Philadelphia Eagles - Chauncey Gardner-Johnson, S, Florida

No. 26 Seattle Seahawks (via IND) - Byron Murphy, CB, Washington

TRADE No. 27 New York Giants (via OAK) - Daniel Jones, QB, Duke

No. 28 Los Angeles Chargers - Dexter Lawrence, DL, Clemson

No. 29 Seattle Seahawks - Darnell Savage, S, Maryland

No. 30 Green Bay Packers - Dalton Risner, OL, Kansas State

No. 31 Los Angeles Rams - Amani Oruwariye, CB, Penn State

TRADE No. 32 Oakland Raiders (via NE) - Johnathan Abram, S, Mississippi State

Sunday, April 22, 2018

Joe's 2018 Amateur Mock Draft Special

The NFL Draft is just days away. With all the buzz surrounding mock drafts in today's never-ending news cycle, I thought I'd give a shot at my first ever mock. You probably don't care about the rest of this intro, so let's just get right into it.

Pick 1: Cleveland Browns
Josh Allen, Quarterback, Wyoming
Image result for josh allen
The Browns continually challenge the norm, and with new general manager John Dorsey, they select what they see as the #1 overall quarterback. Dorsey has long been known to value physical tools over refined technique, with his selections of Patrick Mahomes and Eric Fisher in Kansas City. Allen won't need to compete for the starting job right away, as the Browns traded for QB Tyrod Taylor earlier this offseason. This is an ideal landing spot for Allen.

Pick 2: TRADE // Buffalo Bills (via New York Giants)
Sam Darnold, Quarterback, USC
Image result for sam darnold
Buffalo trades up to select their quarterback of the future. Like the Browns, they have a gap-year to allow Darnold to learn the system, with QB AJ McCarron as the projected starter. This is an ideal landing spot for Darnold - he fits the mold of an AFC North big bodied quarterback.

Pick 3: New York Jets
Josh Rosen, Quarterback, UCLA
Image result for josh rosen
The Jets have been searching for their franchise quarterback for awhile. They select a great candidate for the job in Josh Rosen, where he should step in right away. Rosen is the most pro-ready quarterback out of the bunch, and the Jets are likely to throw him into the fire right away.

Pick 4: Cleveland Browns
Saquon Barkley, Runningback, Penn State
Image result for saquon barkley
At pick No. 1 and 4, the Browns have an opportunity to change their franchise over-night. Already selecting their quarterback of the future with Josh Allen, they also grab their running back of the future in Saquon Barkley. A player who I believe is the best overall in the draft, Barkley is one of the most dynamic talents of the past decade. He's been compared to the likes of Barry Sanders and Ladainian Tomlinson.

Pick 5: Denver Broncos
Baker Mayfield, Quarterback, Oklahoma
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Quarterback isn't the biggest need for the Broncos after the signing of Case Keenum, but they snag their franchise guy with the 5th overall selection, here. Mayfield would learn from a player who I think is very similar to his play style in Keenum. He has some off-field concerns, but the talent is certainly there.

Pick 6: Indianapolis Colts
Bradley Chubb, Defensive End, North Carolina State
Image result for bradley chubb
Ever since the departure of Dwight Freeney and Robert Mathis, the Colts have lacked a consistent pass rush. They nab the top overall EDGE rusher in Bradley Chubb, who has the prototypical size (6-4, 270 lb, 34" arms) for a defensive end. He could be a cornerstone pass rusher for the next decade.

Pick 7: Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Derwin James, Safety, Florida State
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The Buccaneers need some playmakers on defense. Derwin James fits the mold for that role, and should step in right away as a star safety. Many former teammates and coaches have raved about his leadership qualities and 'alpha dog' mentality, which is something this defense is lacking.

Pick 8: Chicago Bears
Quenton Nelson, Guard, Notre Dame
Image result for quenton nelson
With the departure of Josh Sitton, the Bears take one of the top overall players, regardless of position. Quenton Nelson is a mauler in the run game, which bodes well for what the Bears are trying to build with stud running back Jordan Howard. Nelson would step in and make an immediate impact on the passing game as well, for second year quarterback Mitchell Trubisky.

Pick 9: San Francisco 49ers
Tremaine Edmunds, Linebacker, Virginia Tech
Image result for tremaine edmunds
The 49ers take the player with the highest upside in the entire draft. As Brett Kollman put it, "Edmunds has no idea what the hell he's doing, and he's still the best player on the field." Edmunds is a 6-5, 250 lb freak who runs in the 4.5 second-range (forty yard dash). If he can put it all together, he has the potential to be a future all-pro.

Pick 10: Oakland Raiders
Roquan Smith, Linebacker, Georgia
Image result for roquan smith
Like the Buccaneers, the Raiders are in need of playmakers on defense. Roquan Smith is the perfect player for this defense, as a sideline-to-sideline linebacker whose a tackling machine. Smith would easily be one of the best players on defense right away, and adds a nice piece to the front 7.

Pick 11: Miami Dolphins
Denzel Ward, Cornerback, Ohio State
Image result for denzel ward
What do you know, another star cornerback from Ohio State. From Bradley Roby, to Eli Apple, to Gareon Conley and Marshon Lattimore - Denzel Ward is just the latest player to come out of what many people consider 'DBU'. Ward would step into a starting role, and could easily challenge for rookie of the year.

Pick 12: TRADE // New York Giants (via Buffalo Bills, from Cincinnati Bengals)
Minkah Fitzpatrick, Safety, Alabama
Image result for minkah fitzpatrick
Two years after taking former teammate Landon Collins, the Giants trade back to gain more picks, while scooping up Minkah Fitzpatrick along the way. Fitzpatrick is a jack of all trades, and many consider him the most complete defensive back in the entire draft. He would solidify the back-end of the Giants' defense for years to come.

Pick 13: Washington Redskins
Derrius Guice, Runningback, LSU
Image result for derrius guice
The Redskins are in a weird situation. They just let go of Kirk Cousins, while simultaneously trading for one of the most underrated quarterbacks in the league, in Alex Smith. Some view them as being in a 'mini rebuild', which is why giving Smith a chain mover in Derrius Guice is a great acquisition. Guice is viewed by some as the best running back in the draft, and would be a great weapon out of the backfield for Washington's new franchise quarterback.

Pick 14: Green Bay Packers
Harold Landry, Defensive End, Boston College
Image result for harold landry
The Packers are also in somewhat of a mini rebuild. With Aaron Rodgers' injury last season, they have their highest draft pick since 2009, where they selected 9th overall. A team in need of a consistent pass rush, the Packers take Harold Landry, one of the top EDGE prospects on the board. Although he had a better 2016 season, Landry would step into the rotation and make a huge impact on day one - which is exactly what the Packers need.

Pick 15: Arizona Cardinals
Lamar Jackson, Quarterback, Louisville
Image result for lamar jackson
The Cardinals stay put at No. 15 and get their quarterback of the future. Lamar Jackson was one of the most electrifying players in college football for the past two seasons, and would have the opportunity to sit behind Sam Bradford and learn a few things. Jackson would need time to learn, but his upside is tremendous.

Pick 16: Baltimore Ravens
Mike McGlinchey, Offensive Tackle, Notre Dame
Image result for mike mcglinchey
The Ravens cut ties with right tackle Austin Howard this offseason, and are in need of a new protector on that side. They draft Mike McGlinchey, a reliable left tackle who would complete the book-end duo of fellow Notre Dame offensive tackle Ronnie Stanley.

Pick 17: Los Angeles Chargers
Vita Vea, Defensive Tackle, Washington
Image result for vita vea
Touted as the second coming of Haloti Ngata, the Chargers select the best available player in Vita Vea. At 6-4 and nearly 350 lbs, Vea is surprisingly athletic for someone his size. He ran a 5.10 forty yard dash, and pumped out 41 bench press reps. Vea would fill in nicely in the middle for the Chargers.


Pick 18: Seattle Seahawks
Joshua Jackson, Cornerback, Iowa
Image result for josh jackson iowa
With the best hands in the class, Josh Jackson adds a great option for the Seahawks to replace star corner Richard Sherman, whose off to the 49ers next season. Jackson would fit well into the Seahawks' cover 3 zone scheme. Jackson is a long, rangy corner, and had eight interceptions last season (most in the NCAA). He was also Pro Football Focus' highest rated corner in their history, with a grade of 96.2 out of 100.

Pick 19: Dallas Cowboys
Courtland Sutton, Wide Receiver, Southern Methodist University
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The Cowboys recently cut their all-time leader in touchdown receptions, Dez Bryant. They'll certainly be looking for his replacement early in the draft, and Courtland Sutton fits the mold for a prototypical No. 1 wide receiver. At 6-3, 220, Sutton ran a 4.54 forty yard dash, and compares favorably to Dez Bryant as far as size and speed goes. He'd step in as an immediate weapon for Dak Prescott.

Pick 20: Detroit Lions
Marcus Davenport, Defensive End, University of Texas at San Antonio
Image result for marcus davenport
The Lions draft Marcus Davenport as an insurance policy for when/if Ezekial Ansah hits free agency next season. Davenport is one of the most intriguing prospects in the draft. He has a 6-6, 265 lb frame, but is very raw as a pass rusher. Nonetheless, his athletic profile alone is warrant enough for spending a high draft pick. The sky is the limit for Davenport.

Pick 21: Cincinnati Bengals
Isaiah Wynn, Guard, Georgia
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The Bengals are in need of offensive line help, and select one of the top interior protectors on the board. Isaiah Wynn is really an undersized tackle, who should project well as a guard in the NFL. He was rated as the #2 guard in the draft by Pro Football Focus, with a grade of 88.0.

Pick 22: TRADE // New York Giants (via Buffalo Bills)
James Daniels, Center, Iowa
Image result for james daniels iowa
With fellow center Billy Price tearing his pec earlier this offseason, James Daniels becomes the de-facto No. 1 center prospect. The Giants take him with the 22nd pick, acquired from the Bills from the earlier trade, and shore up their offensive line. Center Weston Richburg was signed by the 49ers this offseason, so center is an immediate need.

Pick 23: New England Patriots
Kolton Miller, Offensive Tackle, UCLA
Image result for kolton miller
Nate Solder got paid this offseason, so with the 23rd overall pick the Patriots select offensive tackle Kolton Miller. He's still raw as a player, but his upside is unlimited. At 6-8, 310 lb, Miller has the athletic ability to become a top 10 left tackle. The only problem is he's still an unfinished product, so he may struggle early-on.

Pick 24: Carolina Panthers
Jaire Alexander, Cornerback, Louisville
Image result for jaire alexander
The Panthers have a few needs, but select the best overall player available in Jaire Alexander. He's a shutdown corner who can lock-down receivers in man to man coverage. Ever since Josh Norman's departure, the Panthers have been missing a reliable No. 1 corner to shut down the opposing team's No. 1 receiver, and Alexander is their guy.

Pick 25: Tennessee Titans
Leighton Vander Esch, Linebacker, Boise State

The Titans are in need of a new tackling magnet with Avery Williamson signing with the Jets this offseason. After careful consideration, they elect to select Leighton Vander Esch, an athletic 6-4, 255 lb sideline-to-sideline linebacker. Vander Esch would be a great asset no matter where he goes, and has similar measurables to Carolina linebacker Luke Kuechly.

Pick 26: Atlanta Falcons
Da'ron Payne, Defensive Tackle, Alabama
Image result for da'ron payne
The Falcons are in need of a defensive playmaker up front with the departure of Dontari Poe this offseason. Enter Da'ron Payne, a menace in the middle who can also provide the ability to rush the quarterback in certain situations. He may not be a starter right away, but he'd have considerable playing time as the season progresses.

Pick 27: New Orleans Saints
Hayden Hurst, Tight End, South Carolina
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Former big ticket free agent Coby Fleener hasn't been the replacement for Jimmy Graham that the Saints probably envisioned. They take Hayden Hurst, considered by many the best tight end in this draft. At 6-5, 250 lb, Hurst is a much better receiver than a blocker, which suits the Saints' passing scheme well. With Drew Brees tossing the ball, it's almost impossible not to succeed.

Pick 28: Pittsburgh Steelers
Rashaan Evans, Linebacker, Alabama
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This pick just screams Pittsburgh Steelers. After the terrible tragedy involving linebacker Ryan Shazier, they draft his replacement in Rashaan Evans. At inside linebacker, Evans also has the potential to rush the passer, and fits the hard-nosed identity the Steelers like in their defensive players.

Pick 29: Jacksonville Jaguars
Calvin Ridley, Wide Receiver, Alabama
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This may be considered a steal, depending on who you ask. With the 29th overall selection, the Jaguars select Calvin Ridley to be their new star wide receiver. They lost Allen Robinson to free agency and decided to release Allen Hurns, so they're clearly looking in a new direction to pair with fellow receivers Dede Westbrook and Marquise Lee.

Pick 30: Minnesota Vikings
Will Hernandez, Guard, University of Texas at El Paso
Image result for will hernandez utep
The Vikings are probably the most complete roster from bottom to top. They have no glaring weaknesses, so they elect to take guard Will Hernandez. Former lineman Joe Berger retired this offseason, so it's always good to have more depth. Hernandez may even challenge for a starting spot in week 1.

Pick 31: New England Patriots
Mason Rudolph, Quarterback, Oklahoma State
Image result for mason rudolph
Maybe the most interesting pick in the draft, the Patriots select a new backup/possible quarterback of the future in Mason Rudolph. Because he came from an air-raid system (where stats are seen as inflated) some scouts are skeptical in Rudolph's true abilities. Regardless, he has the pleasure of learning from the greatest quarterback of all time, which could unlock his full potential.

Pick 32: Philadelphia Eagles
Sony Michel, Runningback, Georgia
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A rising prospect in recent weeks, Sony Michel is the last pick of the first round. The Eagles parted ways with Lagarrete Blount in free agency, and Michel would add a nice asset as a 3rd down back. He's been compared to Alvin Kamara, last year's rookie star from the Saints.

Packers Round 2 and 3 Selections

Round 2, Pick 45: Isaiah Oliver, Cornerback, Colorado
Image result for isaiah oliver
Oliver is a sizable corner at 6-1, 190 lb, with rare arm length at 33.5". He has the ability to cover man to man, and would fit nicely in the Packers lineup.

Round 3, Pick 76: Michael Gallup, Wide Receiver, Colorado State
Image result for michael gallup
Gallup is a do it all, jack of all trades receiver. There isn't necessarily one particular thing he excels at, but he does everything right. He would fill in nicely as a No. 2 receiver, opposite Davante Adams.

Friday, March 30, 2018

Packers Draft Primer: 5 Prospects Who Fill a Need

The NFL Draft is one of the most exciting times of the offseason. It can offer fans a sense of security that their team is moving in the right direction, or signal that their team has no clue what's going on.

For the casual fans, the 1st round is obviously the most important part of the process. For others (like myself), the entire draft is like Christmas in April. Sifting through prospects, delving into team needs, and incorrectly mocking players to those teams are all apart of the experience. So without further ado, here are my 5 prospects (likely to be drafted in the 1st round) that fill an immediate need for the Packers.

The Pipedream Pick: Minkah Fitzpatrick, Safety

Image result for minkah fitzpatrick stats

Touted by many experts as one of the safest picks in the draft, Minkah Fitzpatrick can seemingly play all 6 positions in the secondary. He'd be a 'plug and play' starter and would provide a versatile piece for new defensive coordinator Mike Pettine; similar to how Micah Hyde was used. However, with Ha Ha Clinton Dix already secured at the starting free safety position, Fitzpatrick would most likely be deployed as a nickel corner. If Minkah were to start slipping into the 10-12 range, you'd have to think that GM Brian Gutekunst would be extremely tempted to trade up to select the former Alabama safety. This would be one of the best-case scenarios, considering the losses of Morgan Burnett and Damarious Randall. This may not seem so crazy considering the amount of QBs projected to go in the top 5.


Pro comparison: Malcolm Jenkins


Potential: Perennial Pro-bowler





The Maybe Pick: Tremaine Edmunds, Linebacker

Image result for tremaine edmunds

Tremaine Edmunds is essentially a unicorn. Standing at nearly 6'5", weighing 253 lbs, you just don't see the size and speed combination that Edmunds offers. He can cover, stuff the run, and even rush the passer. His athletic profile itself warrants spending a top 10 pick, based on potential alone. That being said, Edmunds still has a lot to learn, and often times relies on his athleticism to bail him out. For that reason only, it may be in the Packers' best interest to look elsewhere, as they may not have the time allowed to develop Edmunds into the player he could be. Nonetheless, the Virgina Tech product has one of the highest upsides in the entire draft class, and could see himself selected in the top 10 come late April.

Pro Comparison: Brian Urlacher


Potential: Future All-pro




The Realistic Pick: Marcus Davenport, Defensive End

Image result for marcus davenport

Marcus Davenport: a name that almost nobody knew until the past 6 months. Davenport, who played for Texas San Antonio, made a name for himself during the Senior Bowl in January (seen above), and has seen his stock rise throughout the process. With a huge frame at 6'6", 265 lbs, Davenport has the size and athleticism to play in any scheme in the NFL. He could certainly see his name called by the Packers come pick 14, and would fill a colossal void at a position in major need of depth. With Clay Matthews set to turn 32 years old, and Nick Perry's inconsistency from time to time, Davenport would make an immediate impact as a rotational edge rusher. I could see him developing similar to how the Vikings brought in Danielle Hunter a few years back.

Pro Comparison: Ziggy Ansah


Potential: Future Pro-bowler



The Surprise Pick: DJ Moore, Wide Receiver

Image result for dj moore

A prospect who has seen his stock rise in the past couple of weeks, DJ Moore is a physical wide receiver who would play on the outside, opposite Davante Adams. The Packers held a formal meeting with Moore at the NFL Combine, and with the release of Jordy Nelson, there's a clear need for a new Z receiver with Randall Cobb playing the majority of his snaps from the slot. Standing at 6' even, Moore is a bulky receiver who can hold his own against press coverage. His athletic profile is incredible, and he could provide a deep threat for a team that lacks speed. Moore could improve as a route runner, but he's a heck of a player nonetheless, and was a huge weapon for Maryland this past season.

Pro Comparison: Pierre Garcon


Potential: 10 year-starter





The Underrated Pick: Leighton Vander Esch, Linebacker

Image result for leighton vander esch tackling

Leighton Vander Esch is a day 1 starter at mike linebacker no matter where he gets drafted. If you watch any of his film, you'll see a technician at his finest. He always seems to be around the ball, and his instincts allow him to make plays that only the best can execute. His measureables are something rarely seen in a player his size, which is an excellent combination to his superior knowledge of the game. If Green Bay drafts him, he'd likely assume a starting role next to Blake Martinez, or stand out as a sub-package specialist. Whether in coverage or defending the run, Vander Esch will make an immediate impact on a defense looking for a leader, much like he was at Boise State.

Pro Comparison: Luke Kuechly


Potential: Future Pro-bowler



 


Monday, March 26, 2018

Minnesota Vikings Free Agency Round-up: A Rival's Perspective

The Minnesota Vikings had one of their best seasons ever in 2017. A season that almost nobody foreshadowed, the Case Keenum-led squad trudged all the way to the NFC Championship game, where they fell to the eventual Super Bowl champs.

For any team, the quarterback is the most important position on the field. They're the heart and soul of an organization. That's why, when Sam Bradford showed up on the injury report after week 2, many Vikings fans went into panic mode. Teddy Bridgewater, who was coming off a horrific knee injury himself, was in no position to be the starter, and the only other option was a journey-man QB whose previous best season came in 2016 with the Jeff Fisher-coached Los Angeles Rams. Heads up, Jeff Fisher is no longer in the league.

Image result for case keenum skol chant

Long-story short, Case Keenum showed up and basically said, "I'm the captain now.", on his way to a magical season. Even after the week-in and week-out chatter of "Is Case going to start this week?" from the national media, he still performed at the highest level. Nonetheless, he slowly gained coach Mike Zimmer's trust, and even earned the game ball after a 34-17 blowout of the Buccaneers (see below).

But you know all about that, so let's get on to the free-agency side of things.

Keenum would agree to a 2-year $36 million deal with the Denver Broncos earlier this offseason, which was a domino effect of the Vikings' marquee signing (you've probably heard): Kirk Cousins. Before I get to Cousins, I'd like to briefly talk about Keenum, and what he can bring to the Broncos. Since signing Peyton Manning in 2013, GM John Elway (who is largely considered a top 10 QB all-time) has missed on several free agent signings.

Here's why I think Keenum is different: 1) He has mobility. He can escape trouble when the pocket collapses, and make spectacular plays that are reminiscent of the 'Minneapolis Miracle'. 2) He has good accuracy when surrounded with the right talent. Keenum posted a career-best 67.6% completion percentage last season. 3) He's a natural leader. If you've ever seen Keenum talk about his teammates, coaches, and overall work ethic, you'd know he loves the game. Teammates will gravitate toward him as a player. 4) Finally, he's in a position to succeed. He won't be expected to come in and save the franchise. Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders aren't bad weapons to work with, and the Broncos have some great draft capital for the upcoming NFL Draft. And, oh yeah, he's not Brock Osweiler.

Keenum pictured with GM John Elway (left) and Head Coach Vance Joseph (right)















That brings us to the biggest signing of the offseason, and arguably of the past 20 years. That's right, I went there. Kirk Cousins, the first player to ever sign a fully-guaranteed contract in NFL history, is the biggest signing of the past 20 years. If you're a Packers fan, this is the exact signing that you didn't want to see.

Remember that Case Keenum guy we just talked about, who brought the Vikings to the NFC Championship? What do you think Kirk Cousins can do in an offense that includes the likes of Stefon Diggs, Adam Thielen, Laquon Treadwell, Kyle Rudolph, Dalvin Cook, and Latavius Murray? Cousins put up three straight 4000 yard seasons with some not-so-stellar talent with the Redskins. Not to mention the fact that he was playing with an 8th-string running back last season - let that soak in for a moment. Washington essentially put Cousins in the worst situation, just so they wouldn't have to pay him a large sum this offseason. The gamble clearly blew up in their face, and Cousins is laughing all the way to the bank.

Cousins is presented at his first Vikings press conference.
So, here's why Kirk Cousins is the biggest signing in forever: he's a proven starter. Stop there. That alone warrants signing him. How many times in the history of the NFL have we seen a starting QB hit the open market, whose under 30 years old, with no injury history, above average stats, and proven leadership qualities.

I'll answer that: once. His name is Kirk Cousins. That's why I don't blame the Vikings one second for signing him to the first fully-guaranteed contract ever, at 3-years, $84 million. When a starting-caliber QB who could potentially bring you to your first Super Bowl win hits free agency, you take him. No ifs, ands, or buts about it. Hell, even if Alex Smith hits the market, you take him. That's how rare this situation is.

Here's what Cousins brings to the Vikings after six seasons:

Year G GS QBrec Cmp Att Cmp% Yds TD Int Lng Y/A AY/A Y/C Y/G Rate Sk
2012311-0-0334868.846643779.78.614.1155.3101.63
2013530-3-08115552.385447625.54.010.5170.858.45
2014651-4-012620461.81710109818.47.413.6285.086.48
201516169-7-037954369.841662911787.77.811.0260.4101.626
2016*16168-7-140660667.049172512808.18.012.1307.397.223
201716167-9-034754064.340932713747.67.511.8255.893.941
Car625726-30-11372209665.5162069955817.77.511.8261.493.7106

So what type of season can we expect from Cousins? It may be a little too early to tell, as we should get a much clearer picture of the roster after the draft. But for the purposes of this article, I'll contrive a few guesses. My analysis:

    

   The things he does well: 

  •       Overall accuracy 
  •       Quick release
  •       Timing Throws
  •       Play-action fakes
  •       Mobility in the pocket

Image result for kirk cousins quick pass gif
An example of Cousins' stellar accuracy.


   The things he could work on:

  •       "Bone-headed" interceptions, decision making
  •       Inconsistency in his play - (4 TDs 300 yds one game, 1 TD 3 INTs the next)
  •       Ability to improvise
  •       Holding the ball too long
  •       26-30-1 career record as a starter

      Cousins INT 1
      An example of Cousins' poor decision making.

           Ceiling: 12-4 record, 68.5% comp rate, 4400 yds, 32 TDs, 10 INTs, 5 rush TD
           Floor: 9-7 record, 63.0% comp rate, 3700 yds, 23 TDs, 16 INTs, 1 rush TD
           Realistic: 11-5 record, 66.5% comp rate, 4100 yds, 25 TDs, 10 INTs, 3 rush TD

      Other notable players signed by the Vikings:
      • Sheldon Richardson, Defensive Tackle
      • Kai Forbath, Kicker
      • Trevor Siemian, Quarterback (acquired via trade)
      • Tom Compton, Offensive Guard
      Sheldon Richarson is a former pro bowler coming off a season in which he was traded from the Jets to the Seahawks, due to off-field concerns. He signed a 1-year, $11 million ($8 m guaranteed) contract on March 16. Richardson was drafted by the Jets in the 1st round of the 2013 draft, and promptly took home NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year honors. Not long after, he was selected to his first pro bowl in 2014, and was a force to be reckoned with the next few years. He was traded to the Seahawks before the 2017 season.

      Image result for sheldon richardson pass rush gif
      An example of what Vikings fans can expect from a motivated Sheldon Richardson (#91). 
      Here, he bull-rushes the left guard while tracking the QB the entire time. 
      As QB Alex Smith escapes the pocket, Richardson 
      dis-engages from his blocker to seal the edge.

      Richardson will be looking to cash in next year after signing a 1-year prove it deal with the Vikings. The gamble could certainly pay off, as his contract right now is mainly based off of his potential. His ideal position with the Vikings will be as a 3-technique defensive tackle.

      Just picture it now: Danielle Hunter, Sheldon Richarson, Linval Joseph, and Everson Griffen all on the same defensive line. It really doesn't get much scarier than that. Follow that up with star linebackers Anthony Barr and Eric Kendricks, and a back-end that includes Harrison Smith (who I believe to be the best safety in football) and Xavier Rhodes (arguably the best corner in football), this could be one of the best defenses of the past 20 years. Yes, even better than last year's defense. The names mentioned don't include their outstanding depth either, which includes excellent role players such as Trae Waynes, Mackenzie Alexander, Andrew Sendejo, Ben Gedeon, and Brian Robison.

      Next, that brings us to the all-important kicker, a position in which the Vikings have been relatively cursed for the past 20 years. Of course, Ryan Longwell was a good placeholder for a few years, but we all remember the Blair Walsh debacle in 2015, and years earlier with Gary Anderson's infamous 38-yard miss in the 1998 NFC Championship game (Anderson had gone 35 for 35 in the regular season).

      It seems like the Vikings have finally found their kicker, though - at least for now. They re-signed Kai Forbath to a 1-year deal (compensation TBD), after going 32 for 38 on field goals in 2017, and a perfect 15 for 15 in 2016. After bouncing around the league since being drafted, it looks like Forbath has finally found a home.

      Image result for kai forbath
      Kai Forbath ponders his thoughts during a pre-game warm-up.
      The Vikings also agreed to trade for former Broncos QB Trevor Siemian - presumably to compete for the backup QB spot this offseason. The Vikings sent a 2019 5th round pick, while receiving Siemian and a 2018 7th round pick (#225 overall) from the Broncos. Siemian isn't a bonafide starter, but he doesn't need to be - he serves as a great backup option who can come in for 2 or 3 games when called upon. Many people forget: you don't need your backup to win a game, you just need them to not lose it.

      Image result for trevor siemian
      A 7th round draft choice in 2015, Siemian has a career record of 13-11 as a starter.

      Finally, the Vikings signed guard Tom Compton on March 22 (terms undisclosed). Compton figures to be good depth to a much improved Vikings offensive line, just a year removed from being one of the worst positional groups on the team. Compton, drafted in 2012, has bounced around the league as a backup for much of his career. The signing may prove to be crucial, however, as longtime Vikings' guard Joe Berger retired just days ago after a 13 year career.

      Final grades for each signing

      Kirk Cousins: 9.9/10 (I can't give a perfect grade)

      Sheldon Richardson: 8.5/10

      Kai Forbath: 8/10

      Trevor Siemian: 7/10

      Tom Compton: 7/10

      The Vikings have put together one of the most talented rosters of the past decade. From top to bottom, there's seemingly little to no weaknesses. Recognizing that their Super Bowl window is wide open, GM Rick Spielman scooped up Kirk Cousins the day before free agency even started. Anything short of a Super Bowl at this point should be considered a failure, in my eyes. Should the Packers have reason to be scared about the Vikings, going forward? You could make the argument, but as long as #12 is on the field, never count out the green and gold.



      Thursday, March 22, 2018

      Packers Sign Much Needed Veteran Cornerback, Re-unite with Tramon Williams

      Big news in Packer land today: they've signed a free agent cornerback. A move that many fans have been calling for, news broke on Twitter late Thursday afternoon that the Packers and CB Tramon Williams had agreed to a 2 year deal. Former Packers' wide receiver James Jones, who has been on the forefront of breaking Packers' news in the past week, tweeted this out:

      As a Packer earlier in his career, Tramon was a 'corner'stone for nearly a decade, holding down one half of the field even when others were inconsistent. He left Green Bay after 2014 to sign with the Cleveland Browns, until he settled in with the Arizona Cardinals last season, where he had one of his best seasons to date.


      Pro Football Focus, a football analytics website, ranked Williams as the 9th best cornerback in 2017, with a grade of 88.8 (scale of 0-100). He also allowed a league-best 1.0 passer rating when thrown at in man coverage. Let me repeat that: he allowed a 1.0 passer rating - throwing a pass at the ground would warrant a 39.6 passer rating. I don't know how those numbers are calculated, but that's pretty impressive. Tramon did just turn 35 last week, but his impact should still be felt in Mike Pettine's new defensive scheme, which will rely heavily on man coverage.


      It was also announced that wide receiver Jordan Matthews had visited Green Bay on Thursday. Matthews, who was drafted by the Eagles in 2014, is a reliable receiver whose ideal role would be in the slot. With the loss of Jordy Nelson, Matthews would be a nice depth piece in the Packers' offense.

      Tuesday, March 20, 2018

      Packers' Early Free Agency Thoughts

      The Green Bay Packers have signed a free agent. Stop there. Re-read that first sentence. To many Packers fans, free agency was something that didn't require much attention in the past. Former GM Ted Thompson, who served in the role from 2005-2017, was quick to avoid free agent acquisitions for many years. Of course, Thompson had his 'splash' signings with Charles Woodson and Julius Peppers, both of which were major contributors, but he was always known for his cornerstone draft-and-develop philosophy.

      New GM Brian Gutekunst, who served as Director of Player Personnel the past two seasons, has certainly made a name for himself in his first few months at the helm. In a January press conference, Gutekunst stated the Packers would use 'every available avenue' to bolster the roster. He certainly wasn't kidding. Before free agency even started, it was reported by multiple media outlets that the Packers had interest in defensive end Muhammad Wilkerson, as well as star tight end Jimmy Graham.
















      After a lengthy visit with multiple coaches and player personnel on March 7, Wilkerson took his time deciding his fate. On March 13, the two parties agreed on a 1-year, $4.7 million deal, with $1.5 million guaranteed. Wilkerson also has the ability to earn another $2.75 million in incentives. The key part in the Wilkerson signing was his reunion with Mike Pettine, his former defensive coordinator at the New York Jets (and current Green Bay defensive coordinator). Pettine is thought to have had a large role in recruiting Wilkerson to the Packers.
      So, why was Wilkerson released by the Jets in the first place? Reports surfaced during the 2017 season that he had been late to team meetings on multiple occasions, and was simply unmotivated to play the game of football. The Jets went as far as making him inactive for a couple games, and eventually released him this offseason. Wilkerson's poor attitude may be due in part to the Jets being a pretty crappy team in 2017, but some speculate that Wilkerson threw in the towel after being paid a hefty 5-year, $86 million deal with a whopping $53 million in guaranteed money during the 2016 offseason. Regardless of all this, Mo is certainly a talented player when he wants to be. With two double-digit sack seasons since being drafted in the 1st round in 2011, he could be a huge addition to a Packers defense in dire need of a consistent pass rush, especially at only ~$5 million.

          Wilkerson's upside: 10 sacks, 50 tackles, 10 tackles for loss, 3 forced fumbles - Pro Bowl season
          Worst-case scenario: 3 sacks, 25-30 tackles, rotational depth player
          My grade on the signing: 9/10

      On the same day, Jimmy Graham signed a 3-year, $30 million deal. The contract is somewhat incentive-based, as he only carries a $5.67 million cap hit for 2018 - which allows the Packers to cut ties after this season if they don't see what they like. Some people argue that Graham wasn't utilized correctly in Seattle's offense, and was responsible for too many blocking assignments, which isn't his strong-suit. Of course, Graham led all tight ends last season with 10 TDs, so could he really be that much better? At 6'7" 265 lbs, Graham will surely add a huge (pun-intended) redzone threat for Aaron Rodgers.

          Graham's upside: 12 TDs, 1000 yards, Pro Bowl season
          Worst-case scenario: 5 TDs, 400 yards, solid starter
          My grade on the signing: 8/10
         
      So how did they have the cap space for these deals, you may ask?

      Non-coincidentally, the Packers cut wide receiver Jordy Nelson just hours after the Jimmy Graham signing was announced. Nelson, who has been with the Packers since being drafted in 2008, was a mainstay in the offense ever since QB Aaron Rodgers took over. The two had seemingly been best friends ever since. Rodgers even took to social media later that day, proclaiming his praise for the former Packers star wideout.


      Just days later, Nelson would sign a 2-year, $15 million ($13 million guaranteed) deal with the Oakland Raiders, and needless to say, it will be very strange not seeing #87 on the field in green and gold in 2018. His production will surely be missed, but the signing of Jimmy Graham functions essentially as a place-holder for at least this coming season. If there's any consolation in all this, the release of Jordy essentially paid for Wilkerson and Graham's contracts; their two contracts combined were almost equal to Jordy's contract after he was released.



      Finally, just hours ago, former Packers safety Morgan Burnett agreed to a 3-year, $14.5 million deal with the Pittsburgh Steelers.

      Burnett had been a nice contributor for several years, and even called the plays on defense the past few seasons. The move almost assures that 2017 second-round pick Josh Jones will move to starting strong safety for the upcoming season.

      Finally, if you watched any Packers games last year, you saw a key part on defense that was missing: cornerback. After a week of free agency, the Packers have yet to sign a free agent cornerback - and even traded one of their most consistent starters, Damarious Randall, to the Cleveland Browns. Gutekunst did put in an offer sheet for CB Kyle Fuller, but the Bears matched the offer just two hours later. The pickings are getting slim, but some decent corners still on the market include Tramon Williams (former Packer), EJ Gaines, Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie, Ross Cockrell, Davon House (former Packer), Byron Maxwell, and Delvin Breaux. However, only time will tell where the Packers will go. Your move, Gutekunst.

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